Forecasting & Financial Modelling

Future insights are incredibly powerful for businesses and their owners. At Gravitate, our Forecasting & Financial Modelling service equips your business with robust, data-driven models that guide strategic decisions, from investment appraisal to securing funding.

When you need forecasting and financial modelling

A robust financial forecast and model are more than just some numbers on a screen, they are the foundation on which you can think strategically, build for the future, and make critical business decisions. Here are some key situations where they will deliver for you:

  • You are planning for growth, investment or expansion
  • You are preparing for funding rounds, bank loans or investor due diligence
  • You need to evaluate capital projects or internal investment appraisal
  • You want to assess scenarios (e.g. “what if” modelling: new product, pricing change, market shifts)
  • You need to manage risk, cashflow constraints or stress test business resilience
  • You are aligning budgeting, forecasting, and strategic plans for stakeholders

Accurate models mean less uncertainty, happier stakeholders, and faster movement!

The Gravitate Approach

Gravitate Corporate Finance prioritises technical rigour, deep sector understanding and crystal-clear communication as part of a fine-tuned process.

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Business diagnostics and driver mapping

We start by understanding what really moves your numbers. This means your revenue streams, cost base, seasonality, margins, working capital, capex needs, and more.

Historical data review and clean up

Organising and sanitising past financials, identifying anomalies and one-offs, normalising for owner/non-operational items.

Scenario and sensitivity planning

We will factor in various different scenarios (best case, base case, worst case), stress tests, and sensitivity to key variables (price, volume, costs, external factors), so you have as clear-as-possible picture of what the future may hold.

Cashflow forecasting

It is essential that profit figures don’t mislead, so we will model how profits translate into cash, how your cash is used, and how debt, investment and working capital affect your business liquidity.

Tools and automation

We will deploy our arsenal of tools and software to speed up modelling, reduce manual error, maintain clarity and allow for easy updates.

Clear presentation and review

When the work is all done, we deliver your findings with clarity and authority, including models with narratives, dashboards or visual summaries, assumption breakdowns, risk analysis, and help you interpret them.

Why Gravitate?

  • You will work directly with our Corporate Finance Director, Martin Dean, who brings deep cross-sector modelling and forecasting experience.
  • Every assumption is explained with precision and transparency, and all models stress-tested and defensible.
  • We provide custom, scalable models that are built into your business, industry and complexity.
  • Our automation tools streamline model creation, minimising errors and saving you time.
  • Our models are stakeholder ready, whether that’s for internal use, board reviews, lenders or investor scrutiny.

Our forecasting and modelling process

Phase What We Do
Discovery & data gathering Identify business drivers, gather historical financials, understand cost structure, risks, market trends
Assumption development Work with you to define growth rates, cost trends, investment, capex, financing, market variables
Build base model Build core model: revenue, costs, cashflow, working capital, financing / debt schedules
Scenario & sensitivity modules Run alternative scenarios, test what-ifs (e.g. price changes, cost inflation, demand shocks)
Review & refinement Present model, explain assumptions, adjust based on your input, ensure usability

Forecast and financial model FAQs

What’s the difference between forecasting and financial modelling?

Forecasting is projecting future numbers (revenues, costs, cash flows) based on assumptions and trends. Financial modelling is building a structured tool (often a spreadsheet or software model) that brings together those forecasts with scenarios, sensitivities, and what-if analyses to help you test strategy, understand risks, and make decisions.

How accurate are forecasts?

Accuracy depends on quality of historical data, realism of assumptions, understanding of underlying drivers, and whether external factors are well-considered. We always build in sensitivity and scenario testing to show probable ranges, not just single outcomes.

How long do forecasts and models take?

It varies with complexity. A simple forecast / budget model may take a few days. More detailed, scenario-rich models (with multiple variables, financing layers, stress tests) may take several weeks. We'll outline timeline clearly before starting.

What inputs are needed from the client?

Ideally, we need recent financial statements (profit & loss, balance sheet, cashflow), budget data, operational metrics (sales volume, margin metrics, fixed vs variable costs), capital expenditure plans, existing debt or financing arrangements, market assumptions. The more complete, the more reliable the model.

Can your models support investor or lender requirements?

Yes. We build models designed to stand up to external scrutiny, clarity of assumptions, defensibility of scenario tests, transparency in cashflow vs profit, and traceability. Perfect for funding applications, bank credit assessments or investor due diligence.

How often should you update the model/forecast?

A model is only useful if it stays relevant. Typical cadence is quarterly reviews, at least twice per year for more strategic or long-term forecasts. Updates should follow whenever there are material changes: strategy shifts, investment commitments, market disruptions, growth accelerations, or cost inflation.

Which team would you like to contact?